Recent earthquakes near Manila
Manila lies near the West Valley Fault (Marikina Valley Fault), an active strike-slip fault capable of a magnitude 7 or greater earthquake close to the metropolitan area. The Manila Trench offshore to the west adds subduction-zone and tsunami hazard. Agencies have long planned for a large West Valley Fault rupture, sometimes called 'the Big One.' In the past 24 hours, Manila has recorded no earthquakes above the reporting threshold.
Counts include M2.5+ events — the smallest size USGS reports consistently worldwide.
Frequently asked questions
Is Manila at risk of a big earthquake?
Yes. The West Valley Fault runs through the eastern part of the metropolitan area and is capable of a magnitude 7 or greater earthquake. Philippine authorities model a scenario, often called 'the Big One,' to guide preparedness.
When did the West Valley Fault last move?
Studies of the fault suggest it produces major earthquakes roughly every 400 to 600 years, with the last around the year 1650. That long interval is why it is closely monitored, though the timing of the next event cannot be predicted.
Has Manila had a major earthquake?
Manila was heavily damaged by earthquakes in 1863 and 1880, and shaken by the 1990 Luzon earthquake to the north. Its greatest modern concern is a direct rupture of the nearby West Valley Fault.
Nearby regions
Live data from the USGS earthquake feeds. Magnitudes and depths are automated readings and may be revised. Not for emergency use.